BIOMEIRICS( BIOMETRIC SOCIETY )
VOL. 55, NO. 1, MARCH 1999

CONTENT

EDITOR'S INVITED PAPERS

Bayesian Phylogenetic Inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods . . . B. Mau, M. A. Newton, and B. Larget 1

Fundamentals of Survival Data .............................................................P. Hougaard 13

The Graft Versus Leukemia Effect after Bone Marrow Transplantation: A Case Study Using Structural Nested
Failure Time Models . ................... N. Keiding, M. Filiberti, S. Esbjerg, J. M. Robins, and N. Jacobsen 23

Hazard Models for Line Transect Surveys with Independent Observers .............. H.J. Skaug and T. Schweder 29


A Model for Thermograms ....... ...... .................... ............. ....... ...... ...... ...S. Robin 37

Flexible Parametric Measurement Error Models. ....... ............. R.J. Can-oil, K. Roeder, and L. Wasserman 44

Genetic Models with Reduced Penetrance Related to the Y Chromosome. . ...... .....R.W.R. Darling andT. Holt 55
Hypothesis Testing Under Mixture Models: Application to Genetic Linkage Analysis

...................................................................... K.-Y. Liang and P. J. Rathouz 65

Use of Summary Measures to Adjust for Informative Missingness in Repeated Measures Data with Random Effects
...... .................. ....... ............. .............. . ..... ... .. M. C. Wu and D. A. Follmami 75

Mixed Effects Models with Bivariate and Univariate Association Parameters for Longitudinal Bivariate
Binary Response Data .......... ...... ............. .......... . . ... ... .. T. R. Ten Have and A. Morabia 85

Semiparametric Methods for Multiple Exposure Mismeasurement and a Bivariate Outcome in HIV Vaccine Trials
. ... ........ ....... ........ ......... ......... ... .. ... G. T. Golm, M. E. Halloran, and 1. M. Longini, Jr. 94

An Estimation Method for the Semiparametric Mixed Effects Model
..... ....... ............... .............. ..... H. Tao, M. Palta, B. S. Yandell, and M. A. Newtori 102

Bias-Corrected Confidence Intervals for the Concentration Parameter in a Dilution Assay. . . . . J. Wang and S. Basu 111

A General Maximum Likelihood Analysis of Variance Components in Generalized Linear Models .......M. Aitkin 117

Maximum Likelihood Analysis for Heteroscedastic One-Way Random Effects ANOVA in Interlaboratory Studies
.......................... .......... ........................ . ....... M.G. Vangel andA. L. Rukhin 129

Estimating Intraclass Correlation for Binary Data .................M.S. Ridout, C. B. G. Demetrio, and D. Firth 137

Response Surfaces for Overdispersion in the Study of the Conditions for Fish Eggs Hatching . .......J. K. Lmdsey 149

Comparing the Performances of Diggle's Tests of Spatial Randomness for Small Samples with and without
Edge-Effect Correction: Application to Ecological Data ..................J. Gignoux, C. Duby, andS. Barot 156

A Partial Ranking Method for Identifying Repeated Inclusion of Individuals in Anonymized HIV Infection Repo
. ......... ............................. ......... ........D. Greenhaigh, M. T. Doyle, and J. Mortim 165

Discriminant Analysis of Event-Related Potential Curves Using Smoothed Principal Components
..................................................................................................... . K..A.DoandK.'Kirkil. 174

A Random Effects Model for Multivariate Failure Time Data from Multicenter Clinical Trials
...................................................................... J.Cai,P.K. Sen, and H.Zhou 182

Statistical Inference for Self-Designing Clinical Trials with a One-Sided Hypothesis . .. . .. .. Y.Shen and L. Fisher 190
Survival and Hazard Functions for Progressive Diseases Using Saddlepoint Approximations

....... ................................. ............ ............S. Huzurbazarand A. V: Huzurbazar 198

Adaptive Regression Splines in the Cox Model ...................................M. LeBlanc and J. Crowley 204
Likelihood Methods for Incomplete Longitudinal Binary Responses with Incomplete Categorical Covariates

.................... ........ .......... ...... ..... .. S. R. Lipsitz, J. G. lbrahim, and G. M. Fitzmaurice 214
Estimating the Size of a Transient Population

............... ........ . ... R. D. Routledge, G. E. J. Smith, L. Sun, N. Dawe, E. Nygren, and J. S. Sedinger 224

Robustness of Group Testing in the Estimation of Proportions .....................M. Hung and W. H. Swallow 231
Local EM Estimation of the Hazard Function for Interval-Censored Data

........................... ..................R. A. Betensky, J. C. Lindsey, L. M. Ryan, and M. R Wand 238

Approximate Monte Carlo Conditional Inference in Exponential Families ..... . . .. J. E. Kolassa and M. A. Tanner 246

SHORTER COMMUNICATIONS
Poisson Regression with Missing Durations of Exposure

............................... ......... . .... D. Y. Lin, R Arbogast, D. S. Siscovick, and R. N. Lemaitr 252

Robustness of the Latent Variable Model for Correlated Binary Data ....... ....... ..M. Tan, YQu, and J.S.Rao 258
Unconditional Versions of Several Tests Commonly Used in the Analysis of Contingency Tables

.....................................................................B. Freidlin and J. L. Oastwirth 264
AHierarchicalBayesianModelforCombiningMultiple2x2TablesUsingConditionalLikelihoods

.... ....... .... ............. ........ ...... ................ ............................ J. G. Liao 268
A Note on an Exact Test and Confidence Interval for Competition and Overlap Effects

................................. .............. ............ G. K. Shukia and G. S. V. Subrahmanyam 273

A Group Sequential Test for Survival Trials: An Alternative to Rank-Based Procedures ... ...... . ... . ... . .. Z. Li 277

The Utility of Mixed-Form Likelihoods .......................................R.J. Cook and V. T. Farewell 284

Power and Sample Size for Testing Homogeneity of Relative Risks in Prospective Studies ............ J.-MoNam 289

CONSULTANT'S FORUM ..

The Use of Mixed Logit Models to Reflect Heterogeneity in Capture-Recapture Studies . B. A. Coull and A.Agresti 294

Analyzing k(2x2) Tables Under Cluster Sampling....... ...... ........ ....... ...... ......M.D.Begg. 302

Regression Modeling of Ordinal Data with Nonzero Baselines .......................M. Xie and D. G.Simpson 308

Maximally Selected (x2) Statistics for k x 2 Tables......... ....... ........ ....R. A. Betensky andD.rabinowitz 317

Estimation of Offspring Production from a Limited Number of Stage-Structured Censuses
................................................................................................................0- Bakke and 321

BOOK REVIEWS...............................................................................................................................................................326

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BIOMETRICS
Vol: 55, No: 2, June 1999

EDITOR'SINVITEDPAPERS
Evolution and Biometry: Presidential Address . ...................................................... S.R. Wilson 333

Matrix Methods for Estimating Odds Ratios with Misclassified Exposure Data: Extensions and Comparisons
. ...................................................................... M.J. Morrissey and D. Spiegelinan 338
Nonparametric Estimation of a Delay Distribulion Based on Left-Censored and Right-Truncated Data , ............ J. Cui 345
Optimal Diversity-Dependent Conli-ibutions of Genotypes to Mixtures......................... R.-P.Wei and F. C. Yeh 350
A Multiplicative-Epistatic Model for Analyzing Interspecific Differences in Outcrossing Species. ........ R. Wu and B. Li 355
A Goodness-of-fit Test for Capture-Recapture Model M, Under Closure. ................ T.R. Stanley and K. P. Buriiham 366
A Study of Deleterious Gene Structure in Plants Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo
.................................................... J.K. Lee, M. Lascoux, M. A. Newlon, and E. V. Nordheim 376
Estimation of the Size of an Open Population from Capture-Recapture Data Using Weighted Martingale Methods
............................................................................ R.M. Huggins and P. S. F. Yip 387
Two-Stage Design of Quanlal Response Studies ......................................... R.R. Sitter and C. F. J.Wu 396
Repeated Probit Regression When Covariates Are Measured With Error .
.......................................................... D. A. Follmann, S. A. Hlinsberger, and P. S. Albert 403
Population HIV-I Dynamics In Vim: Applicable Models and Inferential Tools for Virological Data from
AIDS Clinical Trials........................................ ......................... H.Wu and A. A. Ding 410
A Bayesian Approach to Ordering Gene Markers ...................... A. W. George, K. L. Mengersen, and G. P. Davis 419
Symmetric Tests and Confidence Intervals for Survival Probabilities and Quanliles of Censored Survival Data
...................................................... ......................... S. Barber and C, Jennison 430
Optimum Experimental Designs forMultinomial Logistic Models. ........ ............. S.S. Zocchi and A. C.Alkinson 437
Applying the Cox Proportional Hazards Model When the Change Time of a Binary Time-Varying Covariate
Is Interval Censored. .................................... W.B. Goggins, D. M. Finkeislein, and A. M. Zaslavsky 445
Analysis of Infant Growth Curves Using Mlillivariate Adaptive Splines .................................... H. Zhang 452
Adjusted Regression Trend Test fora Multicenter Clinical Trial ............................... H.,Quan andT. Capizzi 460
Finite Mixture Modeling with Mixture Outcomes Using the EM Algorithm .................. B. Muthen and K. Shedden 463
An Empirical Comparison of Several Clustered Data Approaches Under Confounding Due to Cluster Effects in the
Analysis of Complications of Coronary Angioplasly. . . . J. A. Berlin, S. E. Kimmel, T. R. Ten Have, and M. D. Sammel 470
A Bayesian Semiparametric Accelerated Failure Time Model ............................. S.Walker and B. K. Mallick 477
Bayesian Design and Analysis ofActive Control Clinical Trials ........................................... R. Simon 484
Generalized Estimating Equations for Ordinal Categorical Data: Arbitary Patterns of Missing Responses
and Missingness in a Key Covariate ............................................ A. Y. Toledano and C. Gatsonis 488
Modeling Random Effects for Censored Data by a Multivariate Normal Regression Model
...... ....................... .......................................... J. P. Klein, C. Pelz, and M.-j. Zhang 497
Fitting Semi-Markov Models to Interval-Censored Data with Unknown Initiation Times
............... ..................................................... G. A. Satlen and M. R. Sternberg 507
Discrete-Time Nonparametric Estimation for Semi-Markov Models of Chain-of-Events Data Subject lo
Interval Censoring and Truncation. .......................................... M.R. Sternberg and G. A. Satten 514
New Residuals for Cox Regression and Their Application to Outlier Screening ............... A. Nardi and M. Schemper 523
Locally Efficient Estimation of the Quality-Adjusted Lifetime Distribution with Right-Censored Data and Covariates
............................................-.....,.................... M.J. van der Laan and A. Hubbard 530
Summarizing the Motion of Self-Propelled Cells: Applications to Sperm Motility
............................................. D.B. Diinson, C. R. Weinberg, S. D. Perreault, and R. E. Chapin 537
The Knox Method and Other Tests for Space-Time Interaction.......................... M. Kulldorffand U. Hjalmars 544
Modeling Heterogeneity in Nest Survival Data ...................................R. Natarajan and C. E. McCulloch 553
Reduced Sensitivity to Hidden Bias at Upper Quantiles in Observational Studies with Dilated Treatment Effects
...................................................................................... P. R. Rosenbaum 560
SHORTER COMMUNICATIONS
Stochastic Algorithms for Markov Models Estimation with Intermittent Missing Data
1. Deltour, S. Richardson, and J.-Y. Le Hesran 565
Robust Regression for Clustered Data with Application to Binary Responses .............. J.S. Preisser and B. F. Qaqish 574
A Global Goodness-of-Fit Statistic for Cox Regression Models ............................M. Parzen and S. R. Lipsitz 580
Bayesian Analysis and Model Selection for Interval-Censored Survival Data . . . . . . D. Sinha, M.-H. Chen, and S. K. Ghosh 585
Monte Carlo EM for Missing Covariates in Parametric Regression Models . . . . J. G. lbrahim, M.-H. Chen, and S. R. Lipsitz 591
On Logit Confidence Intervals for the Odds Ratio wilh Small Samples ....................................A. Agresti 597
Bayesian Monitoring of Event Rates with Censored Data ............................. D. A. Follmann and P. S. Albert 603
Analysis of Multistage Pooling Studies of Biological Specimens for Estimating Disease Incidence and Prevalence
........................................................................................ R. Brookmeyer 608
SIMEX Variance Component Tests in Generalized Linear Mixed Measurement Error Models . . . . . . X. Lin and R, J. Carroll 613
Exact Tests of Goodness of Fit of Log-Linear Models for Rates ......... .J.W.McDonald, P. W.F. Smith, and J.J.Forster 620
Mixed Effects Models with Censored Data with Application to HIV RNA Levels ..........................J. P. Hughes 625
Statistical Issues in a Metaregression Analysis of Randomized Trials: Impact on the Dietary Sodium Intake and
Blood Pressure Relationship ................... C.M.T. Greenwood, J. P Midgley, A. G. Maltliew, and A. G. Logan 630
Multivariale Survival Analysis with Positive Stable Frailties. ................... Z. Qiou, N. Ravishauker, and D. K. Dcy 637
CONSULTANT'S FORUM
Comparison of Several Independent Population Means When Their Samples Contain Log-Normal and Possibly
Zero Observations. ..................... .............. ............................... X.-H. Zhou and W. Tu 645
Predictive Margins with Survey Data ................................................ B.I. Graubard and E. 1.. Korn 652
READER REACTION
Memory in Coal Tits: An Alternative Model .........................................................M.S. Ridout 660
Modelling Ties in the Sign Test........ ..................................... ........ J.C.W.Rayner and D.J. Best 663
BOOK REVIEWS................................................................................. 666

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